Friday, September 11, 2009

Mass-market home prices 'at 2007 peak'

Anti-speculative measures, falling rental yields and ballooning supply may drive residential
property prices down by about 20 per cent, says an analyst. RBS Singapore analyst Fera Wirawan warned that prices of some segments of the market have risen to 2007 peaks amid a strong upswing in buying levels. Based on her analysis, prices of mass-market homes, or low-end private properties, are now at peak October 2007 levels, while prices of mid-tier and high-end homes are just 8 per cent and 22 per cent off their peaks respectively. With prices surging 16 per cent to 26 per cent in recent months, the residential property sector may have peaked, Ms Wirawan cautioned. 'The residential sector recovery was initially driven by pent-up demand and cheap capital values, but we now see speculation in all residential segments, particularly the mass segment,' she said. Average selling prices (ASPs) at recent property launches are 30 per cent to 80 per cent above the ASPs of nearby projects. This is markedly higher than the historical average of 20 per cent.